Cheese
1,374 posts
msg #144724
- Ignore Cheese |
9/22/2018 1:14:37 AM
@ Ed S.
Thank you for sharing your research and for welcoming suggestions.
Perhaps, you have heard of Peter L Brandt. Peter is known as one of the decent people on Twitter.
Peter openly volunteered that his win rate was around 42% (38% to 45%), which is close to yours
in this case.
Peter calculated that even with a win rate of 50%, people should expect many series of continuous
losses and even an occasional dip to a win rate of 20%. So, with a win rate of less than 50%,
Peter's default expectation is that his next trade will be a loss. That thinking is helpful to
his loss management. He cautions that a focus on win rate is actually an obsession with
being right, and our focus should really be on win size and loss size.
Still, a reader offered this suggestion: Peter, if your win rate is 38%, then why not do the opposite?
Would your win rate not become 62%?
Unfortunately, I haven't seen any reply and that discussion has also disappeared.
I hope that you will find an "opposite" approach with ema8 & rsi4 that may give you a 67% win rate.
Good luck, Ed.
|